3 Jul · 08:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1507
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Poliniewicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1613
FormLWWLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H48-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-11)