3 Jul · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skuril
ELO 1493
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fomin
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1573
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 41% · 2.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+80
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)