3 Jul · 10:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1471
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Paszkiewicz
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1424
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Paszkiewicz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)