3 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1403
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Przewlocki
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1426
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.