3 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1461
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sulkowski
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1460
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.