3 Jul · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1569
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Niemiec
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1639
FormWWWWL
42%
58%
🌟Niemiec goes over total as favourite 83% (12)
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)