3 Jul · 22:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1244
FormLLWLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1496
FormLLLWW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Baron
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+252
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+252)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)