3 Jul · 19:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1530
FormWLLWL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Kurek
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1244
FormLLWLL
78%
22%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~74 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+286
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+286)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)