3 Jul · 20:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1530
FormWLLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Kurek
OS
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1352
FormWLWLW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+178
H2H15-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-2)