3 Jul · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1530
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kurek
AS
🇵🇱Aleksander Szydlo
ELO 1467
FormLWWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)