3 Jul · 23:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Aleksander Szydlo
ELO 1467
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1520
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)