3 Jul · 23:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Strowski
ELO 1769
FormWLWWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Strowski
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1537
FormWWWLL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Strowski
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~73 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+232
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+232)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)