3 Jul · 22:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1557
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Malachowski
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1537
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Malachowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.