3 Jul · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1378
FormLLLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Niemiec
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1612
FormLWLWW
26%
74%
🌟Niemiec goes over total as favourite 83% (12)
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~74 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+234
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+234)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)