3 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1382
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Trela
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1336
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Trela
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H50-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-45)