3 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1336
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Nowak
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1333
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Nowak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H14-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.