3 Jul · 21:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1357
FormWWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1479
FormLWWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H22-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-15)