3 Jul · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1434
FormWWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fabis
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1351
FormLWWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H24-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)