3 Jul · 23:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1414
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wiza
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1394
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H39-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.