4 Jul · 00:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1346
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fabis
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1433
FormLWWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H28-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)