4 Jul · 00:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1454
FormWWLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Pawlik
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1575
FormLLWWL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~80 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H29-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-3)