4 Jul · 01:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1407
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Wiza
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1322
FormLLWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H22-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-10)