4 Jul · 00:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1423
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wrobel
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1357
FormWWLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Wrobel
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)