4 Jul · 04:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MW
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1509
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pawlik
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1569
FormLLLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H12-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)