4 Jul · 03:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PB
🇵🇱Piotr Brozek
ELO 1518
FormLLWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Brozek
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1353
FormWLWWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)