4 Jul · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1431
FormLLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Jedrzejowski
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1593
FormWWWLW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Jedrzejowski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)