4 Jul · 04:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1396
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wiza
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1322
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H23-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-10)