4 Jul · 06:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1577
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Glanowski
SB
🇵🇱Sebastian Baran
ELO 1551
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H4-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.