4 Jul · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1393
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Fira
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1321
FormLWWWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Fira
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~81 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H8-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)