4 Jul · 11:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1571
FormWLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Witczak
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1422
FormWLWLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H24-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-8)