4 Jul · 10:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1558
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jadach
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1536
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.