4 Jul · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1398
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Iwasyszyn
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1335
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Iwasyszyn
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H10-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)