4 Jul · 14:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1493
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mleczko
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1500
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 48% · 2.10· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.