4 Jul · 22:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1271
FormLLLLW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Mucha
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1521
FormWWLLW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Mucha
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+250
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+250)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)