4 Jul · 19:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1271
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Machelski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1420
FormLWLLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 54% · 1.87· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)