4 Jul · 19:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1386
FormLWWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1557
FormWWWWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H39-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-6)