4 Jul · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1420
FormLWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Mucha
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1521
FormWWLLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Mucha
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)