4 Jul · 18:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1271
FormLLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Staniczek
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1386
FormLWWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Staniczek
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H19-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-3)