4 Jul · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1587
FormWLWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Witczak
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1413
FormLLWLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 62% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+174
H2H25-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-8)