4 Jul · 17:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Mateusz Woskowicz
ELO 1522
FormLLWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Woskowicz
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1325
FormLLLLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Woskowicz
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+197
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)