4 Jul · 18:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KN
🇵🇱Krzysztof Niemiec
ELO 1506
FormWWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Niemiec
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1323
FormLLLLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+183
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)