4 Jul · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1534
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jedrzejowski
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1600
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Jedrzejowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)