4 Jul · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1327
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gluszek
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1370
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Gluszek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H18-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)