4 Jul · 20:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1724
FormWLWLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Oracz
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1460
FormWLWLL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 77% · 1.29· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+264
H2H28-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+264)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-7)