5 Jul · 00:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1570
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jedrzejowski
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1590
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Jedrzejowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.