5 Jul · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1430
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Jedrzejowski
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1573
FormLLLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Jedrzejowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+143
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)