5 Jul · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1394
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fira
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1344
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Fira
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)