5 Jul · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1335
FormLLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Marud
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1473
FormLWWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Marud
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H45-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-25)