5 Jul · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1342
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Suchecki
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1383
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Suchecki
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 35% · 2.83· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H2-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)