5 Jul · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1383
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Suchecki
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1331
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Suchecki
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+52
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)